New approach for determining the quantiles of maximum annual flows in ungauged catchments using the EBA4SUB model

Dariusz Młyński , Andrzej Wałęga , Bogdan Ozga-Zielinski , Maurycy Ciupak , Andrea Petroselli

Abstract

The purpose of the work was to analyse the possibility of using the conceptual EBA4SUB rainfall-runoff model to determine the design peak flows, with a specified probability of exceeding, in the catchments of the upper Vistula river basin. The basis for the study were observed series of maximum annual flows and daily rainfall for the years 1981–2014. An innovative aspect of the study was the use of a two-stage modelling process. We determined the flow hydrographs with the EBA4SUB model for various rainfall events in the first stage and then we calculated the flow quantiles based on the modeled peak flows using selected density function of probability distributions. Based on the calculations, it was found that the EBA4SUB model represents an alternative to more consolidated methods for calculating flood flows in ungauged catchments. Indeed the model gives relatively similar values to the observed flows, with percentage differences usually limited, and in average for all the investigated case studies in the range 15–25%.
Author Dariusz Młyński (FoEEaLS / DoSEaWM)
Dariusz Młyński,,
- Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management
, Andrzej Wałęga (FoEEaLS / DoSEaWM)
Andrzej Wałęga,,
- Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management
, Bogdan Ozga-Zielinski - National Research Institute
Bogdan Ozga-Zielinski,,
-
, Maurycy Ciupak - National Research Institute
Maurycy Ciupak,,
-
, Andrea Petroselli - Society and Business Organization (DEIM), Tuscia University
Andrea Petroselli,,
-
Journal seriesJournal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, e-ISSN 1879-2707, (N/A 140 pkt)
Issue year2020
No589
Pages1-12
Publication size in sheets0.55
Keywords in EnglishEBA4SUB, Rainfall-runoff model, Annual maximum flood, T-year return period
ASJC Classification2312 Water Science and Technology
DOIDOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125198
URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169420306582?via%3Dihub
Languageen angielski
LicenseJournal (articles only); author's original; Uznanie Autorstwa (CC-BY); after publication
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New approach for determining the quantiles of maximum annual flows in ungauged catchments using the EBA4SUB model of 23-06-2020
3,23 MB
Score (nominal)140
Score sourcejournalList
Publication indicators Scopus SNIP (Source Normalised Impact per Paper): 2018 = 1.917; WoS Impact Factor: 2018 = 4.405 (2) - 2018=4.938 (5)
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