Future impacts of land use and climate change on extreme runoff values in selected catchments of Slovakia

Silvia Kohnová , Peter Rončák , Kamila Hlavčová , Ján Szolgay , Agnieszka Rutkowska

Abstract

The aim of this study is to look at the impacts of land use and climate change on extreme runoff regimes in selected catchments of Slovakia, with an emphasis on selected characteristics of hydrological regimes, catchment runoff, and, especially extreme runoff. Changing climate conditions, characterized especially by changes in precipitation, air temperatures, and potential evapotranspiration in future decades, have been predicted by recent outputs of the KNMI and MPI regional climate change models and the A1B emission scenario. The land use changes were characterized by various future land use scenarios. Assuming these scenarios are accurate, the hydrological regime characteristics were simulated by the WetSpa distributed rainfall-runoff model, which was parameterized for the selected river basins with a daily time step until 2100. Changes in the total runoff and its components (the maximum and design discharges), as well as changes in soil moisture and actual evapotranspiration, compared to the current state, confirm the assumption of an increase in the extremes of the hydrological regimes during periods of flood events. The results of the study showed a need for a reevaluation of design discharge values for future designs of water management structures.
Author Silvia Kohnová
Silvia Kohnová,,
-
, Peter Rončák
Peter Rončák,,
-
, Kamila Hlavčová
Kamila Hlavčová,,
-
, Ján Szolgay
Ján Szolgay,,
-
, Agnieszka Rutkowska (FoEEaLS / DoAM)
Agnieszka Rutkowska,,
- Department of Applied Mathematics
Journal seriesMeteorology Hydrology and Water Management, [Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management Research and Operational Applications], ISSN 2299-3835, e-ISSN 2353-5652, (N/A 20 pkt)
Issue year2019
Vol7
No1
Pages1-9
Publication size in sheets0.5
Keywords in Englishland use and climate change scenarios, the WetSpa model, design discharge
DOIDOI:10.26491/mhwm/97254
URL http://www.mhwm.pl/pdf-97254-30056?filename=Future%20impacts%20of%20land.pdf
Internal identifierWIŚIG/2019/3
Languageen angielski
LicenseJournal (articles only); author's original; Uznanie Autorstwa (CC-BY); after publication
File
Future impacts of land use and climate change on extreme runoff values in selected catchments of Slovakia of 07-05-2019
1,78 MB
Score (nominal)20
Score sourcejournalList
Publication indicators WoS Citations = 0
Citation count*
Additional fields
FinansowanieThis work was supported by the Slovak Research and Development Agency under Contract No. APVV-15-0497 and VEGA Grant Nos. 1/0891/17 and 1/0710/15.
Cite
Share Share

Get link to the record


* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.
Back
Confirmation
Are you sure?